Lazio vs Como Prediction & Match Preview | Serie A Picks Jan 19

January 19, 2026

Lazio and Como close out Matchday 21 of Serie A with a highly intriguing Monday night clash, as both sides look to strengthen their positions in the table. The match takes place on January 19, with important points at stake in the race for European qualification and top-four contention.

Match Context

Como enter this fixture after completing their postponed match against AC Milan, where they fell 3–1 at the Sinigaglia despite delivering one of their strongest performances of the season. The result left a bitter taste, but also confirmed the Biancoblù’s ability to compete against elite opposition.

Lazio, on the other hand, arrive in confident mood after securing a valuable 1–0 away win at Verona, decided by an own goal. Maurizio Sarri’s side continues to show tactical maturity and defensive solidity, keeping themselves firmly in the European race.

With Como sitting on 34 points, level with Roma and Juventus, and Lazio aiming to close the gap to the Champions League places, this matchup shapes up as one of the most tactically balanced games of the round.

Como

Coming off a 3–1 loss to AC Milan, despite a competitive performance.
Still 6th in Serie A with 34 points, maintaining pressure on Roma and Juventus.
Strong away form this season and unbeaten against bottom‑half teams.
Coach Cesc Fàbregas emphasises composure, continuity, and tactical discipline ahead of this match.

Lazio

Fresh off a 1–0 win vs Hellas Verona, their first victory of 2026.
Possess one of the best defences in Serie A with only 16 goals conceded, tied with Como, Milan, and Juventus.
New signings Kenneth Taylor and Petar Ratkov have already been integrated into Sarri’s 4‑3‑3.
Lazio have lost just one of their last seven matches.

Team News & Tactical Overview

Como 1907

Despite the quick turnaround between matches, Como are expected to remain faithful to their possession-oriented approach under Cesc Fàbregas. The Spaniard emphasized composure, continuity, and mentality in his pre-match comments, highlighting the club’s long-term project rather than short-term results.

Como have shown impressive structure in midfield and strong defensive organization throughout the season, allowing them to remain competitive even against Serie A’s top sides. Their tactical discipline make them a difficult opponent, particularly in tight, low-margin games.

Lazio Analysis

Lazio are enjoying a strong campaign under Maurizio Sarri, built largely on defensive consistency. With just 16 goals conceded, the Biancocelesti boast the second-best defensive record in Serie A, alongside teams like Milan and Juventus.

Sarri’s familiar 4-3-3 system relies heavily on high-energy fullbacks Marusic and Pellegrini, while the central defensive pairing of Gila and Romagnoli has been among the most reliable in the league. Gila, in particular, continues to impress and was recently named man of the match against Verona.

In midfield, Danilo Cataldi is expected to anchor the play, supported by Nicolo Rovella and new signing Kenneth Taylor, who made his debut last weekend. Taylor arrives from Ajax after an outstanding season, registering 15 goals and eight assists, and could quickly become a key piece in Sarri’s system.

Up front, Lazio possess a versatile attacking unit. Zaccagni, Isaksen, Pedro, and Cancellieri provide width and creativity, while central options Noslin and Ratkov offer contrasting profiles — mobility versus physical presence — giving Lazio multiple attacking solutions.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Lazio have dominated this fixture:

15 Serie A meetings
10 Lazio wins
4 draws
1 Como victory

The most recent encounter, played on January 10, ended 1–1, with Dia opening the scoring before Cutrone equalised in the second half.

Como’s only league win away to Lazio dates back to the 1951/52 season, when goals from Baldini and Cattaneo secured a famous 2–1 victory at the Olimpico.

📊 Latest Player Availability & Key Stats

Lazio Attackers

Tijjani Noslin: 2 goals in 19 matches; outperforming xG (0.7 → 2 goals).
Gustav Isaksen: 2 goals, outperforming xG (0.4 → 2 goals). 15 shots, 8 on target.

Como Attackers

Anastasios Douvikas remains Como’s top scorer this season.

🧠 Tactical Breakdown

Lazio (4‑3‑3)

Strengths:
- Elite defensive structure (Gila–Romagnoli partnership).
- High‑intensity fullbacks (Marušić, Pellegrini).
- Wingers (Zaccagni, Isaksen, Pedro) excel at cutting inside.
Midfield:
- Cataldi likely anchors.
- Vecino offers late runs and set‑piece threat.
- Kenneth Taylor adds creativity and goal threat from midfield.

Como

Fàbregas’ system focuses on controlled possession, compactness, and vertical transitions.
Strong defensive numbers (16 goals conceded, same as Lazio).
Dangerous in wide overloads and counterattacks.

📈 Market Odds Snapshot

(From latest available odds)

Full‑time result: Lazio ~2.53 | Draw ~3.10 | Como ~2.98
Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.92 | No 1.83
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 at +145, Under 2.5 at -160 (US odds).

The market clearly expects a low‑scoring, tight match.

⭐ Lazio vs Como Prediction

Our Lazio v Como prediction is a tightly contested match likely to finish in a draw, with both teams showing strong defensive metrics and limited attacking overperformance. Como’s away form and Lazio’s difficulty breaking down top‑six sides point toward a balanced contest.

Predicted Score: 1–1 This aligns with independent model projections suggesting a draw is the most probable outcome.

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