Today’s best Bundesliga bet is from our detailed Wolfsburg v RBL prediction. This will be the opening game of the 29th round of Germany’s Bundesliga. Friday night, April 11th, 2025, 2030 CET at the Volkswagen Arena. The hosts have lost three games in a row without even scoring, while the visitors have not won an away game in seven straight attempts. Something has got to give. One run is about to end, but which will it be? Let’s dig in and give you the best Bundesliga bet for today, for free.
What’s In It For Both Teams?
As we’ve often pointed out in our top betting picks and our eBook, analyzing the motivation factor for both teams involved is super important. Usually, when it’s late in the season as we are in the Bundesliga now, some teams have nothing to play for. Others might be fighting for survival or European places or the title.
Sitting at the 12th spot in the standings with 38 points, Wolfsburg are closer to Europe than they are to the relegation zone. However, a late push seems unlikely. Especially given their recent run of bad results and poor form. At the moment, Borussia M’gladbach occupy the final European spot (6th) with 44 points. With just six rounds left to go, it’s quite unlikely that Woflsburg will mount a challenge for the top spots that late in the season. Making up for those six points with just six rounds left is definitely a tall order. Given that their place in the Bundesliga has been secured while a Euro push is not realistic, the hosts won’t be super motivated for this game.
Meanwhile, Red Bull Leipzig are battling for a Champions League spot. They are currently fifth with just a point behind 4th placed Mainz. In fact, a win tonight will see them get level on points with the 3rd-placed Eintracht. Of course, that would be until both Mainz and Eintracht play their respective games, and I doubt both will lose. Bottom line is that RBL are in a battle with those two teams for the last two Champions League positions. That’s millions of Euros at stake. This will make tonight’s game that much more important to them than it is to their hosts.
Teams News And Expected Lineups
Wolfsburg: Grabara – Fischer, Odogu, Koulierakis, Mæhle – Dárdai, Arnold (c) – Tomás, Wind, Wimmer – Amoura
Out: Angely (hamstring), Białek (knee), Bornauw (foot), Majer (ankle), Svanberg (knee)
Doubtful: Vavro (muscular)
Coach: Ralph Hasenhüttl
Leipzig: Gulácsi – Nedeljkovic, Orbán (c), Castello, Raum – Baku, Vermeeren, Seiwald, Xavi – Šeško, Openda
Out: Henrichs (Achilles), Nusa (knee), Ouédraogo (hamstring), Schlager (hamstring)
Doubtful: –
Coach: Zsolt Lőw
Stats And Facts
- The Wolves actually won the previous matchup in an emphatic manner. They crushed RBL with a 1:5 scoreline at Leipzig in front of 44,000 fans. This happened on November 30th, 2024, and back then Wolfsburg were 7th in the league.
- Overall, Red Bull are undefeated in their last four Bundesliga fixtures played on Friday, while VFL are without a win in five attempts (D2, L3).
- The Wolves have not scored a single goal in their last three Bundesliga games. All 1:0 defeats.
- RBL have not won in seven straight games away from home.
- This game will be the second fixture for Zsolt Löw in charge of Red Bull. The new head coach won on his debut last week – a 3-1 victory over Hoffenheim.
Wolfsburg v RBL Prediction
I expect the hosts to finally get on the scoresheet. However, Red Bull are more motivated and have the better squad. With Openda and Sesko up front, supported from the flanks by Xavi Simons and Baku, they should be able to score more goals. Both teams to score at 1.65 is a decent market if you have a big bank. If you are after value bets and higher odds, go for the risk – RBL to win And BTTS.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.65 ✅
Red Bull Leipzig to Win And Both Teams to Score @ 4.00 ✅
*Final Score: Wolfsburg v RBL 2:3