After narrowly missing out on our bet yesterday, today’s top Bundesliga betting tip should get us back on track. We have prepared the best Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund prediction for January 9, 2026. Borussia are currently ranked second in the Bundesliga with 32 points trailing Bayern Munich 9 points already. Playing second fiddle to the mighty Bavarians is something they’ve grown accustomed to. I don’t they believe a title push is real as none of us neutrals do either. That’s a real shame, because the Bundesliga has lost its competitiveness.Every season is the same with Bayern Munich pushing away and the rest just playing for scraps in their own competition.
Tonight’s Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund at Deutsche Bank Park arrives at a pivotal moment for both clubs. Frankfurt, sitting in seventh place with 25 points, are fighting to stay in the European qualification race, while Dortmund aim to solidify their Champions League position.
Frankfurt’s Focused on Business Rather Than Trophies
Frankfurt have been doing great on the business side of the sport. They’ve been selling out their best players, but they’ve also done a good job replacing them. Last year, they sold their two best attacking players and cashed over 150 million euros. Marmush was sold to Man City for 70 million euros, while Eketike went to Liverpool for €91-95 million Euros. Of course, that usually involves a transition period as new players need time to adapt, and both clubs are playing in this year’s Champions League.
Inconsistent Frankfurt Looking To Get Back On Track
I’ve always preached on the importance of analyzing both teams when looking to make an accurate sports betting pick. Frankfurt enter the match with a mixed run of results. Their last five Bundesliga games show one win, one draw, and three defeats, with only four goals scored and ten conceded during that stretch. Their biggest issue this season has been defensive instability—30 goals conceded, a total surpassed only by the league’s bottom two sides. Despite this, Frankfurt have been resilient at home, remaining unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga matches at Deutsche Bank Park. This home form is their biggest asset heading into tonight’s match.
Dortmund, meanwhile, have been more consistent. Their recent form reads three wins, one draw, and one loss, including a confident 2–0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach before the winter break. Their attack has been more fluid and productive than Frankfurt’s, and their defensive structure—while not flawless—has been significantly more stable. Dortmund’s ability to control midfield phases and create high‑quality chances gives them a statistical edge.
Expected Lineups and Tactics
Let’s look at the tactics going into this Frankfurt v Borussia prediction. Tactically, Frankfurt under Dino Toppmöller are expected to adopt a 3‑5‑2 or 3‑4‑2‑1 shape, relying heavily on wing‑backs and transitional play. However, Frankfurt’s challenge lies in breaking down Dortmund’s compact mid‑block and avoiding costly defensive lapses. Ansgar Knauff, who used to play as a right back is now an auxiliary number nine. Ritsu Doan and former BVB player Mario Gotze are set to support the forward.
Dortmund, under Niko Kovač, are likely to line up in a 3‑4‑3 or 4‑2‑3‑1, with Julian Brandt orchestrating play and Serhou Guirassy providing a strong goal threat. Their midfield pairing—likely Sabitzer and Felix Nmecha – offers balance, ball progression, and defensive coverage. Dortmund’s wide players, especially Adeyemi, could exploit Frankfurt’s vulnerable defensive channels.
From an analytical standpoint, Dortmund hold the advantage in several key areas: attacking efficiency, defensive solidity, and midfield control. Frankfurt’s home advantage and physical intensity keep them competitive, but their inconsistency – especially in defense – makes them difficult to trust over 90 minutes.
📊 Expected Goals (xG) Projection
(Based on form, chance creation, defensive metrics, and historical matchup trends)
Projected xG
- Eintracht Frankfurt xG:1.15 – 1.35
- Low shot volume recently
- Stronger at home, but inconsistent finishing
- Borussia Dortmund xG:1.45 – 1.75
- More consistent chance creation
- Better attacking efficiency and midfield control
Interpretation
- Dortmund are more likely to generate higher‑quality chances.
- Frankfurt’s xG spikes at home, but they rarely exceed 1.5 unless facing weaker defenses.
📊 Prediction Model
Key Factors
| Factor | Edge |
|---|---|
| Attack | Dortmund |
| Defense | Dortmund |
| Midfield control | Slight Dortmund |
| Home advantage | Frankfurt |
| Form consistency | Dortmund |
| Squad availability | Dortmund (slightly) |
Likely Match Flow
- Frankfurt start strong but struggle to sustain pressure
- Dortmund grow into the match and create higher‑quality chances
- Frankfurt’s defensive fragility could be decisive late on
Bundesliga Betting Verdict
This will the curtain raiser for the new year in the German Bundesliga and I expect them to start with a bang. Both clubs like to play an attacking brand of football. They’ve never been known for their defenses. Dortmund enter with a slight statistical edge, but Frankfurt’s home form keeps this matchup volatile. Dortmund are the more complete and reliable side at the moment. Frankfurt will likely start aggressively, backed by their home crowd, but Dortmund’s superior structure and finishing quality should tilt the match in their favor.
My betting pick for this Frankfurt v Borussia prediction is for Over 2.5 Goals combined with Both Teams to Score.
